What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 82¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $0.86.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 83% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 82%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 129.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Southern (W) and Minnesota (W) combine for over 129.5 points in the Southern (W) vs Minnesota (W) women's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

82%

Median YES price across 21 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

36% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
82¢ (now)	1.4¢	$0.86	83.4%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 129.5?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 131.5?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 127.5?	78¢	78%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 133.5?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 125.5?	82¢	82%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 135.5?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 123.5?	89¢	89%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 137.5?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 121.5?	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 139.5?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 119.5?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 142.5?	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 116.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 145.5?	43¢	43%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 113.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 148.5?	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 110.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 64.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 66.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W) be more than 62.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Southern (W) score more than 41.5 points in Southern (W) vs. Minnesota (W)?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.