What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 79¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $1.00.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 81% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 79%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 137.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Oregon (W) and Grand Canyon (W) combine for over 137.5 points in the Oregon (W) vs Grand Canyon (W) women's college basketball game scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

79%

Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

42% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
79¢ (now)	1.6¢	$1.00	80.6%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 137.5?	92¢	92%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 139.5?	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 135.5?	91¢	91%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 141.5?	79¢	79%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 133.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 143.5?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 131.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 145.5?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 129.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 147.5?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 127.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 150.5?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 124.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 153.5?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 121.5?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 156.5?	43¢	43%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the total in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W) be more than 118.5?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will Oregon (W) score more than 73.5 points in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W)?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will Grand Canyon (W) score more than 64.5 points in Oregon (W) vs. Grand Canyon (W)?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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