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Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 21.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings combine for over 21.5 points in the Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings professional football game scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 8:15PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 93 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$4.701.1%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 21.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 24.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 27.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 30.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 33.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 35.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 37.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 39.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 41.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 43.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 44.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 45.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 46.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 47.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 48.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 49.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 50.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 51.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 52.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 53.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 55.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 57.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 59.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 61.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 63.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 66.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 69.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 72.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 75.5?0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 16.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 18.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 20.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 22.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 23.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 24.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 25.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 26.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 28.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 30.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the total in BUF Bills vs. MIN Vikings be more than 32.5?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 93 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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