What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 51¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.33.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 53% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 51%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 157.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Portland and Hawai'i combine for over 157.5 points in the Portland vs Hawai'i men's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 12:00AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

51%

Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

98% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
51¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.33	53.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 157.5?	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 159.5?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 155.5?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 161.5?	40¢	40%	2.3¢	—	80%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 153.5?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 163.5?	35¢	35%	2.2¢	—	70%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 151.5?	62¢	62%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 165.5?	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 149.5?	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 167.5?	28¢	28%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 147.5?	71¢	71%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 169.5?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 145.5?	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 171.5?	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 143.5?	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 173.5?	17¢	17%	1.3¢	—	34%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 141.5?	85¢	85%	1.2¢	—	30%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 176.5?	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 138.5?	91¢	91%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 179.5?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 135.5?	93¢	93%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 182.5?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 132.5?	97¢	97%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 185.5?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 129.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 188.5?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 126.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Portland score more than 75.5 points in Portland vs. Hawai'i?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Portland score more than 77.5 points in Portland vs. Hawai'i?	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Portland score more than 73.5 points in Portland vs. Hawai'i?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Hawai'i score more than 82.5 points in Portland vs. Hawai'i?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Hawai'i score more than 84.5 points in Portland vs. Hawai'i?	48¢	48%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Hawai'i score more than 80.5 points in Portland vs. Hawai'i?	64¢	64%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 158.5?	46¢	46%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 156.5?	50¢	50%	2.4¢	—	100%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 74.5?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 76.5?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 72.5?	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 78.5?	43¢	43%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC
Will the first half total in Portland vs. Hawai'i be more than 70.5?	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 24, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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