What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 51¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.33.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 53% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 51%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 163.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Oakland and Boise State combine for over 163.5 points in the Oakland vs Boise State men's college basketball game scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 9:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

51%

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

98% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
51¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.33	53.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 163.5?	46¢	46%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 165.5?	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 161.5?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 167.5?	38¢	38%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 159.5?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 169.5?	33¢	33%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 157.5?	63¢	63%	2.2¢	—	74%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 171.5?	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 155.5?	69¢	69%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 173.5?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 153.5?	74¢	74%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 175.5?	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 151.5?	77¢	77%	1.7¢	—	46%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 177.5?	17¢	17%	1.3¢	—	34%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 149.5?	82¢	82%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 179.5?	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 147.5?	86¢	86%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 182.5?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 144.5?	91¢	91%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 185.5?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 141.5?	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 188.5?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 138.5?	97¢	97%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will Oakland score more than 72.5 points in Oakland vs. Boise State?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will Oakland score more than 74.5 points in Oakland vs. Boise State?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will Oakland score more than 70.5 points in Oakland vs. Boise State?	64¢	64%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will Boise State score more than 90.5 points in Oakland vs. Boise State?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will Boise State score more than 92.5 points in Oakland vs. Boise State?	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will Boise State score more than 88.5 points in Oakland vs. Boise State?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Oakland vs. Boise State be more than 162.5?	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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