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Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 148.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Loyola Marymount and Troy combine for over 148.5 points in the Loyola Marymount vs Troy men's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 34 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
52¢ (now)2.4¢$2.2854.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 148.5?46¢46%2.4¢—92%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 150.5?42¢42%2.3¢—84%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 146.5?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 152.5?37¢37%2.2¢—74%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 144.5?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 154.5?32¢32%2.1¢—64%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 142.5?64¢64%2.2¢—72%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 156.5?27¢27%1.9¢—54%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 140.5?69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 158.5?24¢24%1.7¢—48%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 138.5?73¢73%1.9¢—54%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 160.5?20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 136.5?77¢77%1.7¢—46%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 162.5?17¢17%1.3¢—34%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 134.5?82¢82%1.4¢—36%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 164.5?14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 132.5?87¢87%1.1¢—26%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 167.5?11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 129.5?92¢92%0.7¢—16%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 170.5?8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 126.5?96¢96%0.4¢—8%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 173.5?17¢17%1.3¢—34%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 123.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 176.5?14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 120.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 179.5?11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 117.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Loyola Marymount score more than 74.5 points in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy?55¢55%2.4¢—90%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Loyola Marymount score more than 76.5 points in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy?52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Loyola Marymount score more than 72.5 points in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy?62¢62%2.2¢—76%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Troy score more than 74.5 points in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy?53¢53%2.4¢—94%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Troy score more than 76.5 points in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy?50¢50%2.4¢—100%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Troy score more than 72.5 points in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Loyola Marymount vs. Troy be more than 147.5?50¢50%2.4¢—100%0Nov 25, 00:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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