What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 55¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.14.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 57% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 55%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will Arkansas-Pine Bluff score more than 56.5 points in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Arkansas-Pine Bluff scores over 56.5 points in the Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs UCLA men's college basketball game scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 9:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

55%

Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

90% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
55¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.14	57.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will Arkansas-Pine Bluff score more than 56.5 points in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will Arkansas-Pine Bluff score more than 58.5 points in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will Arkansas-Pine Bluff score more than 54.5 points in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA?	61¢	61%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will UCLA score more than 99.5 points in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA?	61¢	61%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will UCLA score more than 101.5 points in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will UCLA score more than 97.5 points in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA?	68¢	68%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 156.5?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 158.5?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 154.5?	63¢	63%	2.2¢	—	74%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 160.5?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 152.5?	79¢	79%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 162.5?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 150.5?	82¢	82%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 164.5?	38¢	38%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 148.5?	79¢	79%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 166.5?	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 146.5?	84¢	84%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 168.5?	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 144.5?	88¢	88%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 170.5?	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 142.5?	93¢	93%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 172.5?	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 140.5?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 175.5?	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 137.5?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 178.5?	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 134.5?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 181.5?	28¢	28%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 131.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 184.5?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 128.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 187.5?	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC
Will the total in Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. UCLA be more than 125.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.