What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 64¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $1.71.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 66% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 64%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 164.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Alcorn State and Murray State combine for over 164.5 points in the Alcorn State vs Murray State men's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

64%

Median YES price across 29 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

72% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
64¢ (now)	2.2¢	$1.71	66.2%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 164.5?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 166.5?	57¢	57%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 162.5?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 168.5?	57¢	57%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 160.5?	76¢	76%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 170.5?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 158.5?	86¢	86%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 172.5?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 156.5?	90¢	90%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 174.5?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 154.5?	92¢	92%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 176.5?	43¢	43%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 152.5?	96¢	96%	0.4¢	—	8%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 178.5?	40¢	40%	2.3¢	—	80%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 150.5?	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 180.5?	37¢	37%	2.2¢	—	74%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 148.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 183.5?	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 145.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 186.5?	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 142.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 189.5?	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the total in Alcorn State vs. Murray State be more than 139.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Alcorn State score more than 69.5 points in Alcorn State vs. Murray State?	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Alcorn State score more than 71.5 points in Alcorn State vs. Murray State?	64¢	64%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Alcorn State score more than 67.5 points in Alcorn State vs. Murray State?	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Murray State score more than 95.5 points in Alcorn State vs. Murray State?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Murray State score more than 97.5 points in Alcorn State vs. Murray State?	64¢	64%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will Murray State score more than 93.5 points in Alcorn State vs. Murray State?	82¢	82%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 25, 01:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.