What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.66.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Connor McDavid wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 regular season. If Connor McDavid ties with one or more other players for the award Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 37 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)	0.2¢	$4.66	2.2%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Zach Werenski	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
William Nylander	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Tage Thompson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Sidney Crosby	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Sebastian Aho	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Quinn Hughes	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Pavel Dorofeyev	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Nick Suzuki	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Mitch Marner	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Mikko Rantanen	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Matthew Tkachuk	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Matt Boldy	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Mark Scheifele	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Lane Hutson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Kyle Connor	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Jason Robertson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Jack Eichel	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Igor Shesterkin	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Connor Hellebuyck	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Connor Bedard	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Cole Caufield	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Brayden Point	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Brady Tkachuk	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Artemi Panarin	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Andrei Vasilevskiy	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Aleksander Barkov	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Alex Ovechkin	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.