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NFC Champion on Polymarket US

If the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFC Championship, scheduled for January 31, 2027, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body or event organizer. If the listed championship game is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the game is complete. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window results in resolution at the last fair market price. If the Arizona Cardinals are eliminated from contention, this market will settle to No.

Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
5¢ (now)0.5¢$4.515.5%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
NFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion28¢28%1.9¢—56%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
NFC Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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