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AFC Champion on Polymarket US

If the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 AFC Championship, scheduled for January 31, 2027, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body or event organizer. If the listed championship game is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the game is complete. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window results in resolution at the last fair market price. If the Tennessee Titans are eliminated from contention, this market will settle to No.

Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)0.4¢$4.564.4%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
AFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion21¢21%1.6¢—42%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion12¢12%1.0¢—24%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion25¢25%1.8¢—50%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC
AFC Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Feb 15, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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