What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 4¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.56.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 4% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 4%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Thomas Sorber on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Thomas Sorber wins the NBA Rookie of the Year Award for the 2026-27 NBA season. If Thomas Sorber ties with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

8% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)	0.4¢	$4.56	4.4%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Thomas Sorber	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Tarris Reed Jr.	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Meleek Thomas	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Koa Peat	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Joshua Jefferson	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jayden Quaintance	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Chris Cenac Jr.	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Bennett Stirtz	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Alex Karaban	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Labaron Philon Jr.	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Karim Lopez	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Hannes Steinbach	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Ebuka Okorie	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Dailyn Swain	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Christian Anderson	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Allen Graves	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Nate Ament	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Morez Johnson Jr.	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Kingston Flemings	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Cameron Carr	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Brayden Burries	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Aday Mara	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Mikel Brown Jr.	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Keaton Wagler	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Yaxel Lendeborg	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Darius Acuff Jr.	23¢	23%	1.7¢	—	46%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
AJ Dybantsa	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Caleb Wilson	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Darryn Peterson	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Cameron Boozer	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.