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NBA Northwest Division Winner on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Utah Jazz finish first in the Northwest Division at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 NBA regular season. Division standings are as published by the NBA, including all official tiebreakers. If the 2026-2027 NBA season is cancelled, suspended, or shortened such that the outcome cannot be determined, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NBA.

Market says (typical open contract)
16%
Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
32% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
16¢ (now)1.3¢$3.9917.3%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
NBA Northwest Division Winner2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Apr 26, 03:00 UTC
NBA Northwest Division Winner18¢18%1.4¢—36%0Apr 26, 03:00 UTC
NBA Northwest Division Winner59¢59%2.3¢—82%0Apr 26, 03:00 UTC
NBA Northwest Division Winner16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Apr 26, 03:00 UTC
NBA Northwest Division Winner14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Apr 26, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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