PredictMeNot
Theme

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

MLS Eastern Conference Champion on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Philadelphia Union wins the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference Final. Outcome sourced from MLS.

Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)0.5¢$4.466.5%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
MLS Eastern Conference Champion9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC
MLS Eastern Conference Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC
MLS Eastern Conference Champion5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC
MLS Eastern Conference Champion41¢41%2.3¢—82%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC
MLS Eastern Conference Champion26¢26%1.8¢—52%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC
MLS Eastern Conference Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC
MLS Eastern Conference Champion4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC
MLS Eastern Conference Champion9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC
MLS Eastern Conference Champion6¢6%0.5¢—12%0Dec 27, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.