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SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 SEC Men's Basketball Tournament. If the listed team does not qualify for or participate in the tournament, the market will settle to No. If the tournament is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled, the market will remain open and settle once an official champion is declared. If the tournament is cancelled with no official champion declared, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NCAA.

Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
5¢ (now)0.5¢$4.515.5%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion35¢35%2.2¢—70%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion6¢6%0.5¢—12%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC
SEC Men's Basketball Tournament Champion4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Mar 29, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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