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Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if a team in the Big Ten Conference wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. If the tournament is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled, the market will remain open and settle once an official champion is declared. If the tournament is cancelled with no official champion declared, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $4.66 | 2.2% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 16¢ | 16% | 1.3¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 21¢ | 21% | 1.6¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 23¢ | 23% | 1.7¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
| Conference to Win the Men's College Basketball National Championship | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 20, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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