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Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Cincinnati Bearcats win the 2027 Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament. If the listed team does not qualify for or participate in the tournament, the market will settle to No. If the tournament is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled, the market will remain open and settle once an official champion is declared. If the tournament is cancelled with no official champion declared, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NCAA.

Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
6% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)0.3¢$4.613.3%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion19¢19%1.5¢—38%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion17¢17%1.3¢—34%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC
Big 12 Men's Basketball Tournament Champion3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Mar 28, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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