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Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Elon Musk's net worth, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, is above $600 billion on December 31, 2026. Outcome sourced from Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The Bloomberg Billionaires Index figures are updated after the close of every trading day in New York. This market settles based on the net-worth figure published by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index for December 31, 2026 or, if December 31, 2026 is not a trading day, the most recent figure published before December 31, 2026.

Market says (typical open contract)
38%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
76% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
38¢ (now)2.2¢$2.9440.2%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?97¢97%0.3¢—6%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?89¢89%0.9¢—22%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?66¢66%2.1¢—68%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?38¢38%2.2¢—76%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?30¢30%2.0¢—60%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC
Elon Musk Net Worth on December 31?5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Jan 15, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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