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Will CoreWeave (CRWV) beat Q3 2026 quarterly earnings on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if CoreWeave (CRWV) reports GAAP earnings per share (EPS) above -$1.18 for the third quarter of CoreWeave's fiscal year 2026. Outcome sourced from CoreWeave's official earnings documents. CoreWeave typically reports GAAP EPS as net income (loss) "per share attributable to common stockholders." GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. If CoreWeave reports different GAAP earnings per share figures for multiple share classes, the figure for CRWV will be used. For companies whose primary listing is outside the United States, the earnings per share figure for the security traded in the United Sta

Market says (typical open contract)
33%
Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
66% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
33¢ (now)2.1¢$3.1835.1%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will CoreWeave (CRWV) beat Q3 2026 quarterly earnings?33¢33%2.1¢—66%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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