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Josh Allen on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Josh Allen records the most fantasy points among all quarterbacks (QB) in Week 9 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season. Fantasy points will be calculated using ESPN's Fantasy Football League Points Per Reception (PPR) scoring system and reflect each player's total for Week 9 of the 2026 Pro Football regular season. If two or more players tie for the most fantasy points, each tied player's market will settle to $1.00 divided by the number of tied players. If a quarterback not listed records the most fantasy points, the market will settle to No. If the listed player does not achieve the most fantasy points for any reason, including not playing or his game be

Market says (typical open contract)
99%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%
99¢ (now)0.1¢$0.0599.1%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Josh Allen20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Carson Wentz14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Kenneth Walker23¢23%1.7¢—46%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
James Cook III99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Aaron Jones Sr.99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Puka Nacua25¢25%1.8¢—50%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Jordan Addison99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
T.J. Hockenson8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Ka'imi Fairbairn99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Will Reichard11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Tyler Bass29¢29%2.0¢—58%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Dominic Zvada99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Top D/ST Fantasy Football Week 999¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Top D/ST Fantasy Football Week 999¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Top D/ST Fantasy Football Week 999¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
DJ Moore99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC
Dalton Kincaid99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 01:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.