What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 24¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $3.61.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 26% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 24%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will Spain win against England in the UEFA Nations League match scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Spain vs England UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 2:45PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA.

Market says (typical open contract)

24%

Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

48% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
24¢ (now)	1.7¢	$3.61	25.7%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will Spain win against England in the UEFA Nations League match scheduled for Nov 15, 2026?	66¢	66%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will the UEFA Nations League match Spain vs England scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 end in a draw?	25¢	25%	1.8¢	—	50%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will England win against Spain in the UEFA Nations League match scheduled for Nov 15, 2026?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish Draw 0-0?	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ESP wins 1-0?	23¢	23%	1.7¢	—	46%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ENG wins 1-0?	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish Draw 1-1?	26¢	26%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ESP wins 2-0?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ENG wins 2-0?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ESP wins 2-1?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ENG wins 2-1?	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish Draw 2-2?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ESP wins 3-0?	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ENG wins 3-0?	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ESP wins 3-1?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ENG wins 3-1?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ESP wins 3-2?	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish ENG wins 3-2?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG finish Other?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will Spain lead England at halftime?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will ESP vs ENG be tied at halftime?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will England lead Spain at halftime?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will Spain win the second half against England?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
Will England win the second half against Spain?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 19:45 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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