What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 53¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.23.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 55% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 53%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the LA Clippers win the first half vs the PHO Suns on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of the first half in the LA Clippers vs PHO Suns professional basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 9:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If both teams score the same number of points in the first half, the market will settle to Tie. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

53%

Median YES price across 56 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

94% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
53¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.23	55.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the LA Clippers win the first half vs the PHO Suns?	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the first half of LA Clippers vs. PHO Suns end in a tie?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns win the first half vs the LA Clippers?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers win the second half vs the PHO Suns?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the second half of LA Clippers vs. PHO Suns end in a tie?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns win the second half vs the LA Clippers?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers win the first quarter vs the PHO Suns?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the first quarter of LA Clippers vs. PHO Suns end in a tie?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns win the first quarter vs the LA Clippers?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers win the second quarter vs the PHO Suns?	45¢	45%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the second quarter of LA Clippers vs. PHO Suns end in a tie?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns win the second quarter vs the LA Clippers?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers win the third quarter vs the PHO Suns?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the third quarter of LA Clippers vs. PHO Suns end in a tie?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns win the third quarter vs the LA Clippers?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers win the fourth quarter vs the PHO Suns?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the fourth quarter of LA Clippers vs. PHO Suns end in a tie?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns win the fourth quarter vs the LA Clippers?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 10 points before the PHO Suns?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 10 points before the LA Clippers?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 20 points before the PHO Suns?	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 20 points before the LA Clippers?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 30 points before the PHO Suns?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 30 points before the LA Clippers?	69¢	69%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 40 points before the PHO Suns?	58¢	58%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 40 points before the LA Clippers?	69¢	69%	2.0¢	—	62%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 50 points before the PHO Suns?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 50 points before the LA Clippers?	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 60 points before the PHO Suns?	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 60 points before the LA Clippers?	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 70 points before the PHO Suns?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 70 points before the LA Clippers?	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 80 points before the PHO Suns?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 80 points before the LA Clippers?	74¢	74%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will neither team reach 80 points in LA Clippers vs. PHO Suns?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 90 points before the PHO Suns?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 90 points before the LA Clippers?	75¢	75%	1.8¢	—	50%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the LA Clippers reach 100 points before the PHO Suns?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will the PHO Suns reach 100 points before the LA Clippers?	74¢	74%	1.8¢	—	52%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC
Will neither team reach 100 points in LA Clippers vs. PHO Suns?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 25, 02:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 56 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.