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Will the BOS Celtics win the first half vs the PHI 76ers on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of the first half in the BOS Celtics vs PHI 76ers professional basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If both teams score the same number of points in the first half, the market will settle to Tie. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 57 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
52¢ (now)2.4¢$2.2854.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the BOS Celtics win the first half vs the PHI 76ers?52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the first half of BOS Celtics vs. PHI 76ers end in a tie?6¢6%0.5¢—12%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers win the first half vs the BOS Celtics?49¢49%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics win the second half vs the PHI 76ers?53¢53%2.4¢—94%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the second half of BOS Celtics vs. PHI 76ers end in a tie?7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers win the second half vs the BOS Celtics?54¢54%2.4¢—92%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics win the first quarter vs the PHI 76ers?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the first quarter of BOS Celtics vs. PHI 76ers end in a tie?7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers win the first quarter vs the BOS Celtics?49¢49%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics win the second quarter vs the PHI 76ers?53¢53%2.4¢—94%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the second quarter of BOS Celtics vs. PHI 76ers end in a tie?7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers win the second quarter vs the BOS Celtics?49¢49%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the third quarter of BOS Celtics vs. PHI 76ers end in a tie?8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics win the third quarter vs the PHI 76ers?52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers win the third quarter vs the BOS Celtics?48¢48%2.4¢—96%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics win the fourth quarter vs the PHI 76ers?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the fourth quarter of BOS Celtics vs. PHI 76ers end in a tie?8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers win the fourth quarter vs the BOS Celtics?53¢53%2.4¢—94%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 10 points before the PHI 76ers?52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 10 points before the BOS Celtics?52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 20 points before the PHI 76ers?53¢53%2.4¢—94%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 20 points before the BOS Celtics?52¢52%2.4¢—96%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 30 points before the PHI 76ers?66¢66%2.1¢—68%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 30 points before the BOS Celtics?64¢64%2.2¢—72%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 40 points before the PHI 76ers?67¢67%2.1¢—66%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 40 points before the BOS Celtics?60¢60%2.3¢—80%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 50 points before the PHI 76ers?70¢70%2.0¢—60%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 50 points before the BOS Celtics?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 60 points before the PHI 76ers?69¢69%2.0¢—62%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 60 points before the BOS Celtics?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 70 points before the PHI 76ers?70¢70%2.0¢—60%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 70 points before the BOS Celtics?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 80 points before the PHI 76ers?71¢71%2.0¢—58%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 80 points before the BOS Celtics?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will neither team reach 80 points in BOS Celtics vs. PHI 76ers?6¢6%0.5¢—12%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 90 points before the PHI 76ers?71¢71%2.0¢—58%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 90 points before the BOS Celtics?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will neither team reach 90 points in BOS Celtics vs. PHI 76ers?8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the BOS Celtics reach 100 points before the PHI 76ers?71¢71%2.0¢—58%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC
Will the PHI 76ers reach 100 points before the BOS Celtics?53¢53%2.4¢—94%0Nov 25, 01:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 57 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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