What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 1¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.70.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 1%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Exact Margin of Victory: BUF Bills by 15+ on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Buffalo Bills wins by a margin of 15+ points in the Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings professional football game scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 8:15PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 332 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

2% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$4.70	1.1%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Exact Margin of Victory: BUF Bills by 15+	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: BUF Bills by 7-14	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: BUF Bills by 1-6	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Tie	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: MIN Vikings by 1-6	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: MIN Vikings by 7-14	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: MIN Vikings by 15+	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Both Teams to Score Points - 4th Quarter: Over 0.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Touchdowns: Over 2.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Touchdowns: Over 3.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Touchdowns: Over 4.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Touchdowns: Over 5.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Touchdowns: Over 6.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Touchdowns: Over 7.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 2.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 3.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 4.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 5.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 6.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 7.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	94¢	94%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 2.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 3.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Offensive Yards: Over 250.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Offensive Yards: Over 350.5	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Offensive Yards: Over 450.5	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Offensive Yards: Over 250.5	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Offensive Yards: Over 350.5	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Offensive Yards: Over 450.5	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns: Over 0.5	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns: Over 0.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns: Over 0.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Total Successful Two-Point Conversions: Over 0.5	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 0.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 1.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 2.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 0.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 1.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 2.5	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 06:15 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 332 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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