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EPL Player Total Goals on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Yoane Wissa scores at least 10 goals in the 2026-2027 Premier League season. Outcome sourced from Premier League.
Market says (typical open contract)
42%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
84% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 42¢ (now) | 2.3¢ | $2.76 | 44.3% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPL Player Total Goals | 59¢ | 59% | 2.3¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 41¢ | 41% | 2.3¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 71¢ | 71% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 97¢ | 97% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 13¢ | 13% | 1.1¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 78¢ | 78% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 28¢ | 28% | 1.9¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 56¢ | 56% | 2.3¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 19¢ | 19% | 1.5¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 21¢ | 21% | 1.6¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 87¢ | 87% | 1.1¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 16¢ | 16% | 1.3¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 13¢ | 13% | 1.1¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 18¢ | 18% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 18¢ | 18% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 81¢ | 81% | 1.5¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 55¢ | 55% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 17¢ | 17% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 65¢ | 65% | 2.2¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 24¢ | 24% | 1.7¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 42¢ | 42% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 76¢ | 76% | 1.7¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 51¢ | 51% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 49¢ | 49% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 82¢ | 82% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 37¢ | 37% | 2.2¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 45¢ | 45% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| EPL Player Total Goals | 83¢ | 83% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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