What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 52¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.28.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 54% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 52%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the New England Patriots cover -19.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if New England Patriots covers a -19.5 point spread in the first half of the New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions professional football game scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 9:30AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

52%

Median YES price across 123 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

96% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
52¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.28	54.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the New England Patriots cover -19.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -17.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -16.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -14.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -13.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -10.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -9.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -8.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -7.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	19¢	19%	1.5¢	—	38%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -6.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	35¢	35%	2.2¢	—	70%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -5.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -4.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	28¢	28%	1.9¢	—	56%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -3.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -2.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	38¢	38%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -1.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -0.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 1.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 2.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 3.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	61¢	61%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 4.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 5.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	68¢	68%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 6.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	71¢	71%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 7.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	77¢	77%	1.7¢	—	46%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 8.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	79¢	79%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 9.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 10.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	84¢	84%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 13.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 14.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 16.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 17.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover 19.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -19.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -17.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -16.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -14.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -13.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -10.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	17¢	17%	1.3¢	—	34%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -9.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -8.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC
Will the New England Patriots cover -7.5 vs the Detroit Lions in NE Patriots vs. DET Lions?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 29, 19:30 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 123 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.