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Will the GS Warriors cover 5.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Golden State Warriors covers a +5.5 point spread in the Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets professional basketball game scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 9:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Market says (typical open contract)
58%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
84% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 58¢ (now) | 2.3¢ | $2.00 | 60.3% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the GS Warriors cover 5.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 52¢ | 52% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -22.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -20.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -18.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -16.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -14.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -12.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -10.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -6.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 21¢ | 21% | 1.6¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -4.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 25¢ | 25% | 1.8¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover -2.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 30¢ | 30% | 2.0¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 1.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 41¢ | 41% | 2.3¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 2.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 43¢ | 43% | 2.3¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 3.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 46¢ | 46% | 2.4¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 4.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 48¢ | 48% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 6.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 55¢ | 55% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 7.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 58¢ | 58% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 8.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 61¢ | 61% | 2.3¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 9.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 63¢ | 63% | 2.2¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 10.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 66¢ | 66% | 2.1¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 11.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 69¢ | 69% | 2.0¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 13.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 74¢ | 74% | 1.8¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 15.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 79¢ | 79% | 1.6¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 17.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 83¢ | 83% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 19.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 86¢ | 86% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 21.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 90¢ | 90% | 0.9¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 23.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 92¢ | 92% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 25.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 95¢ | 95% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 27.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 29.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 31.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
| Will the GS Warriors cover 33.5 vs the HOU Rockets in GS Warriors vs. HOU Rockets? | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 26, 02:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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