What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 61¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $1.85.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 63% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 61%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the DEN Nuggets cover -1.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Denver Nuggets covers a -1.5 point spread in the Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies professional basketball game scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

61%

Median YES price across 33 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

78% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
61¢ (now)	2.3¢	$1.85	63.3%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -1.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	62¢	62%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -29.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -27.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -25.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -23.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -21.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -19.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -17.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -15.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -13.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -11.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -9.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -7.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -6.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	57¢	57%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -5.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	57¢	57%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -4.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -3.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover -2.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	61¢	61%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 1.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 2.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 3.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 4.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 6.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 8.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 10.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 12.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 14.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 16.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 18.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 20.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 22.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 24.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Will the DEN Nuggets cover 26.5 vs the MEM Grizzlies in DEN Nuggets vs. MEM Grizzlies?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 26, 01:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.