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English Premier League Top 4 Finisher on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Sunderland AFC finishes in the top 4 of the 2026-2027 Premier League. Outcome sourced from Premier League.
Market says (typical open contract)
9%
Median YES price across 120 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
18% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9¢ (now) | 0.8¢ | $4.32 | 9.8% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 22¢ | 22% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 75¢ | 75% | 1.8¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 20¢ | 20% | 1.5¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 13¢ | 13% | 1.1¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 71¢ | 71% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 38¢ | 38% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 57¢ | 57% | 2.3¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 4 Finisher | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 48¢ | 48% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 22¢ | 22% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 18¢ | 18% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 42¢ | 42% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
| English Premier League Top 2 Finishers | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jun 14, 03:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 120 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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