What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 9¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.32.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 10% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 9%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

AFC Championship Game Qualifiers on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Los Angeles Chargers qualify for the 2027 AFC Championship Game scheduled for January 31, 2027. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

18% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
9¢ (now)	0.8¢	$4.32	9.8%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	33¢	33%	2.1¢	—	66%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC
AFC Championship Game Qualifiers	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Feb 08, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.