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JD Vance Resigns as Vice President on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if J.D. Vance's resignation as Vice President of the United States is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from J.D. Vance and the White House. The resignation will be considered to be announced when J.D. Vance, the White House, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that J.D. Vance has resigned or will resign from the position of Vice President. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when J.D. Vance formally leaves the position. Only announcements of J.D. Vance's departure through self-initiated means qualify. Self-initiated means include retirement, mutual agreement, or other self-i

Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 0 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢ (now)2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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