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Serie A Relegation on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Venezia FC is relegated from Serie A at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Outcome sourced from Serie A.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 48 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)0.2¢$4.662.2%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Serie A Relegation56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation41¢41%2.3¢—82%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation47¢47%2.4¢—94%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation60¢60%2.3¢—80%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation62¢62%2.2¢—76%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Relegation2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC
Serie A Top Goalscorer2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 14, 03:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 48 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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