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Team from Texas wins the College Football Championship on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if any team from Texas wins the 2027 College Football National Championship game scheduled for January 25, 2027. Teams from Texas that qualify for this market are Baylor University, Texas Christian University, Texas Tech University, University of Houston, University of Texas, Texas A&M University, Rice University, Southern Methodist University, University of Texas at San Antonio, University of North Texas, University of Texas at El Paso, Sam Houston State University, and Texas State University. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $4.04 | 16.2% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team from Texas wins the College Football Championship | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Feb 09, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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