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New Jersey gas price at year end on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if the New Jersey average price of regular gas is greater than $5.0000 for December 31, 2026. Outcome sourced from AAA. This market settles based on the New Jersey average gas prices published daily by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/?state=NJ. Each date's price is used as published by AAA at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided the price has been updated for that date. If the price has not been updated at that time, the first price updated for that date will be used. If the price for the specified date has not been published within 3 calendar days (ET) of that date, this market will settle to No. For full rules, see: https://www.polymarketexchange.com/files/pro
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ (now) | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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