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Zscaler quarter kpi on Kalshi
If Zscaler, Inc. reports above 865 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 825 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 825 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 8,832 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 815 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 815 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 4,826 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 790 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 790 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,418 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 820 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 820 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 2,090 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 800 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 800 | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 1,521 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 795 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 795 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 804 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 805 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 805 | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 106 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 810 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 810 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 82 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zscaler, Inc. report above 865 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027? · Above 865 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 24, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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