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Women's T20 Match on Kalshi
If Pakistan wins the Pakistan vs Netherlands women's professional ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy T20s cricket match originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Cricbuzz, ESPNcricinfo, ICC, Fox Sports, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
49%
Median YES price across 76 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobart Hurricanes Women wins · Hobart Hurricanes Women | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 6,272 | Nov 12, 12:10 UTC |
| Adelaide Strikers Women wins · Adelaide Strikers Women | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 5,881 | Nov 12, 12:10 UTC |
| Rwanda wins · Rwanda | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 1,733 | Nov 12, 10:30 UTC |
| USA Women wins · USA Women | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 1,510 | Nov 12, 10:30 UTC |
| Ireland wins · Ireland | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 690 | Nov 14, 09:00 UTC |
| Sri Lanka wins · Sri Lanka | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 403 | Nov 14, 09:00 UTC |
| Uganda Women wins · Uganda Women | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 333 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Perth Scorchers Women wins · Perth Scorchers Women | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 321 | Nov 13, 12:10 UTC |
| Namibia Women wins · Namibia Women | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 286 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Sydney Sixers Women wins · Sydney Sixers Women | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 75 | Nov 14, 12:10 UTC |
| Sydney Thunder Women wins · Sydney Thunder Women | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 65 | Nov 13, 12:10 UTC |
| Sydney Thunder Women wins · Sydney Thunder Women | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 64 | Nov 18, 12:10 UTC |
| Brisbane Heat Women wins · Brisbane Heat Women | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 62 | Nov 24, 08:40 UTC |
| Scotland wins · Scotland | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 6 | Nov 14, 09:00 UTC |
| Melbourne Stars Women wins · Melbourne Stars Women | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 2 | Nov 24, 12:10 UTC |
| Netherlands wins · Netherlands | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 14, 13:15 UTC |
| Pakistan wins · Pakistan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 09:00 UTC |
| Netherlands wins · Netherlands | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 09:00 UTC |
| Rwanda wins · Rwanda | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Namibia Women wins · Namibia Women | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Netherlands wins · Netherlands | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 18, 09:00 UTC |
| Bangladesh wins · Bangladesh | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 18, 09:00 UTC |
| United Arab Emirates wins · United Arab Emirates | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:15 UTC |
| Scotland wins · Scotland | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:15 UTC |
| Zimbabwe wins · Zimbabwe | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 18, 09:00 UTC |
| Pakistan wins · Pakistan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 18, 09:00 UTC |
| United Arab Emirates wins · United Arab Emirates | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 18, 13:15 UTC |
| Sri Lanka wins · Sri Lanka | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 18, 13:15 UTC |
| USA Women wins · USA Women | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 10:30 UTC |
| Uganda Women wins · Uganda Women | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Nov 14, 10:30 UTC |
| Papua New Guinea Women wins · Papua New Guinea Women | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 18, 13:15 UTC |
| Ireland wins · Ireland | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 18, 13:15 UTC |
| Uganda Women wins · Uganda Women | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:30 UTC |
| Rwanda wins · Rwanda | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 13, 10:30 UTC |
| Zimbabwe wins · Zimbabwe | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 09:00 UTC |
| Thailand wins · Thailand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 09:00 UTC |
| USA Women wins · USA Women | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Namibia Women wins · Namibia Women | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Sri Lanka wins · Sri Lanka | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:15 UTC |
| Papua New Guinea Women wins · Papua New Guinea Women | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 13:15 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 76 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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