Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Workiva quarter kpi on Kalshi
If Workiva Inc. reports Above 3400 customers with acv over $100k in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Workiva Inc. report Above 3400 customers with acv over $100k in Q1 2027? · Above 3400 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Workiva Inc. report Above 3200 customers with acv over $100k in Q1 2027? · Above 3200 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Workiva Inc. report Above 3150 customers with acv over $100k in Q1 2027? · Above 3150 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Workiva Inc. report Above 3100 customers with acv over $100k in Q1 2027? · Above 3100 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Workiva Inc. report Above 3050 customers with acv over $100k in Q1 2027? · Above 3050 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Workiva Inc. report Above 3000 customers with acv over $100k in Q1 2027? · Above 3000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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