What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 60¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.40.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 62% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 60%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Wingstop KPI on Kalshi

If Wingstop Inc. reports above -8% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

60%

Median YES price across 21 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

80% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
60¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.40	61.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,630 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,630	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	337	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,660 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,660	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	292	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,900 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,900	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	199	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,600 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,600	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	71%	136	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above -8% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -8%	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	12%	132	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above -10% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -10%	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	132	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,570 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,570	62¢	62%	1.7¢	—	77%	132	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,540 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,540	84¢	84%	1.0¢	—	33%	132	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,480 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,480	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	132	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,450 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,450	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	132	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,510 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,510	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	15%	130	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 3,690 total system-wide restaurants in Q1 2027? · Above 3,690	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	97	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above -12% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -12%	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	84	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above -6% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -6%	89¢	89%	0.7¢	—	22%	0	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above -4% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -4%	78¢	78%	1.2¢	—	44%	0	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above -2% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -2%	60¢	60%	1.7¢	—	80%	0	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 8% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 8%	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 6% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 6%	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	0	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 4% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 4%	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 2% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 2%	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	40%	0	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC
Will Wingstop Inc. report above 0% domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 0%	39¢	39%	1.7¢	—	78%	0	Aug 26, 12:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.