What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 4¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.34.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 5% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 4%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing? on Kalshi

If Tim Pool attends any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: USA Today, ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Vogue, Axios, CNN, Reuters, Billboard, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

9% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)	0.3¢	$3.36	4.3%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Tim Pool attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Tim Pool	32¢	32%	1.5¢	—	64%	31,110	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Dan Bongino attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Dan Bongino	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	15%	7,814	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Benny Johnson attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Benny Johnson	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	6,596	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Tulsi Gabbard attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Tulsi Gabbard	7¢	7%	0.4¢	—	14%	5,696	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Ben Shapiro attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Ben Shapiro	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	4,943	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	41%	4,475	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Matt Walsh attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Matt Walsh	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	3,002	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Tucker Carlson attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Tucker Carlson	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	1,069	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Candace Owens attend any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room? · Candace Owens	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	452	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.