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Boxing Cruiserweight Title on Kalshi

If David Benavidez holds the WBC Cruiserweight Title on Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, WBC Boxing.

Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · David Benavidez84¢84%0.9¢—31%1,822Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Jai Opetaia2¢2%0.1¢—4%718Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Noel Mikaelian0¢0%0.0¢—1%192Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Aloys Youmbi0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Title is vacant1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Ryan Rozicki0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Viddal Riley0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Kevin Ramirez0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Gilberto Ramirez0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Yamil Alberto Peralta0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Leonardo Mosquea0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Mateusz Masternak0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Floyd Masson0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Ilunga Makabu0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Badou Jack0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Brandon Glanton0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Yuniel Dorticos0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Michael Cieslak10¢10%0.6¢—20%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC
Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Chris Billam-Smith0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Jan 01, 19:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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