What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.75.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 52% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Verizon Annual KPI on Kalshi

If Verizon Communications Inc reports Above 1150000 postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

100% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢ (now)	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 750 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 750 thousand	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	2,475	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 1000 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 1000 thousand	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	91%	2,221	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 800 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 800 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	1,744	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 700 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 700 thousand	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	1,537	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 900 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 900 thousand	64¢	64%	1.6¢	—	73%	1,454	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 950 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 950 thousand	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	92%	1,258	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 850 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 850 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	1,025	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 600 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 600 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	994	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 650 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 650 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	927	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 400 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 400 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	670	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 500 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 500 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	645	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 550 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 550 thousand	82¢	82%	1.1¢	—	37%	509	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 1150 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 1150 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 1100 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 1100 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 1050 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 1050 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 350 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 350 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC
Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 450 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 450 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Apr 27, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.