Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Verizon KPI on Kalshi
If Verizon Communications Inc. reports above 550000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 450,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 450,000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 5,535 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 400,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 400,000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 3,284 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 350,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 350,000 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 2,114 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 250,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 250,000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,900 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 200,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 200,000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,881 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 300,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 300,000 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 439 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 550,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 550,000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 354 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 500,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 500,000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 132 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc. report above 150,000 postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027? · Above 150,000 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Aug 24, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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