Markets › Kalshi › Elections
Democratic VP nom on Kalshi
If Scott Colom accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Republican Party, Democratic Party.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 53 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 364,917 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Gretchen Whitmer | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 258,858 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will James Talarico be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · James Talarico | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 232,304 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Elissa Slotkin | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 192,699 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Andy Beshear be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Andy Beshear | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 187,476 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Gavin Newsom | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 181,710 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Jon Ossoff | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 177,695 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Kamala Harris | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 167,202 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Pete Buttigieg | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 162,804 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hunter Biden be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Hunter Biden | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 128,179 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Michelle Obama | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 126,719 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mark Kelly be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Mark Kelly | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 120,383 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Josh Shapiro | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 116,454 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ro Khanna be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Ro Khanna | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 114,064 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Raphael Warnock be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Raphael Warnock | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 103,833 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Zohran Mamdani | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 102,837 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Roy Cooper be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Roy Cooper | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 102,211 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Fetterman be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · John Fetterman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 85,209 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · J.B. Pritzker | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 84,632 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Tim Walz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 84,557 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wes Moore be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Wes Moore | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 83,151 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Graham Platner be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Graham Platner | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 79,189 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amy Klobuchar be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Amy Klobuchar | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 67,215 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gina Raimondo be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Gina Raimondo | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 63,821 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Ruben Gallego | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 59,539 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mark Cuban be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Mark Cuban | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 57,847 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Abdul El-Sayed | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 46,771 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rahm Emanuel be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Rahm Emanuel | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 36,887 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cory Booker be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Cory Booker | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 34,849 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will LeBron James be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · LeBron James | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 31,101 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Stewart be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Jon Stewart | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 27,351 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Murphy be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Chris Murphy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 27,025 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Barack Obama be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Barack Obama | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 25,112 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stephen A. Smith be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Stephen A. Smith | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 25,002 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tony Evers be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Tony Evers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 21,102 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Jasmine Crockett | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 20,667 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Andrew Yang be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Andrew Yang | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 16,823 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bernie Sanders be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Bernie Sanders | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 14,068 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dwayne Johnson be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Dwayne Johnson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 11,676 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Liz Cheney be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party? · Liz Cheney | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 9,322 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 53 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.