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Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? on Kalshi

If the House has conducted any recorded vote on any resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth, any motion to table, refer, or postpone such a resolution, or any special rule that specifically refers to such a resolution after Issuance and before Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: United States House of Representatives, Congressional Record.

Market says (typical open contract)
90%
Median YES price across 3 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
20% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢ (now)0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? · Before Nov 14, 202690¢90%0.7¢—21%75,085Nov 14, 04:59 UTC
Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? · Before Nov 21, 202690¢90%0.6¢—20%16,533Nov 21, 04:59 UTC
Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth? · Before Jan 1, 202794¢94%0.4¢—13%12,059Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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