Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Venture global quarter kpi on Kalshi
If Venture Global, Inc. reports Above 520 lng volumes in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
38%
Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
76% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 38¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.17 | 39.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venture Global, Inc. report Above 460 tbtu lng volumes in Q3 2026? · Above 460 tbtu | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 6,626 | Feb 12, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Venture Global, Inc. report Above 480 tbtu lng volumes in Q3 2026? · Above 480 tbtu | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 4,950 | Feb 12, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Venture Global, Inc. report Above 500 tbtu lng volumes in Q3 2026? · Above 500 tbtu | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 3,076 | Feb 12, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Venture Global, Inc. report Above 440 tbtu lng volumes in Q3 2026? · Above 440 tbtu | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 211 | Feb 12, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Venture Global, Inc. report Above 520 tbtu lng volumes in Q3 2026? · Above 520 tbtu | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 161 | Feb 12, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.