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who will perform at venue on Kalshi
If Ed Sheeran performs at Gillette Stadium in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Deadline, ABC, The Source Agencies are, Associated Press, <person>, in hierarchical order, official social media accounts of confirmed performers at <venue> in the same <time period> as <person>, Fox, Variety, Entertainment Weekly, CBS, social media accounts of event organizers at <venue>, NBC, Rolling Stone, the official broadcaster of the event at <venue>, CNN, social media accounts, official <venue> website, Billboard, Reuters, The Hollywood Reporter, the official website.
Market says (typical open contract)
34%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
67% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 34¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.31 | 35.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zeds Dead perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Zeds Dead | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 64,554 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mt. Joy perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Mt. Joy | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 60,784 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ed Sheeran perform at Gillette Stadium in 2026? · Ed Sheeran | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 60,636 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zach Bryan perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Zach Bryan | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 54,034 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Big Head Todd and the Monsters perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Big Head Todd and the Monsters | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 35,542 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dispatch perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Dispatch | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 30,740 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gregory Alan Isakov perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Gregory Alan Isakov | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 28,274 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will deadmau5 perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · deadmau5 | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 23,223 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will GRiZ perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · GRiZ | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 18,117 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rufus Du Sol perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Rufus Du Sol | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 17,574 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will ILLENIUM perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · ILLENIUM | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 17,403 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · The String Cheese Incident | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 17,309 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Avett Brothers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · The Avett Brothers | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 15,703 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Summit perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · John Summit | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 13,325 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rebelution perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Rebelution | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 12,856 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Bonamassa perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Joe Bonamassa | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 11,670 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Goose perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Goose | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 11,247 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nathaniel Rateliff perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Nathaniel Rateliff | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 11,168 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Billy Strings perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Billy Strings | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 10,130 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Blues Traveler perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Blues Traveler | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 10,110 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will ODESZA perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · ODESZA | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 9,543 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Skrillex perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Skrillex | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 8,885 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hozier perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Hozier | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 8,246 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vampire Weekend perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Vampire Weekend | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 7,595 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Lumineers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · The Lumineers | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 7,169 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Turnstile perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Turnstile | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 6,341 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Widespread Panic | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 5,510 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kacey Musgraves perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Kacey Musgraves | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 5,436 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pretty Lights perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Pretty Lights | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 5,389 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Slightly Stoopid perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Slightly Stoopid | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 4,638 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Noah Kahan perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Noah Kahan | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 4,348 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tame Impala perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Tame Impala | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 2,657 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fred again.. perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Fred again.. | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 2,609 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Stapleton perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Chris Stapleton | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,336 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lorde perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Lorde | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 652 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dom Dolla perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027? · Dom Dolla | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 3 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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