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Valorant Map Winner on Kalshi
If Xipto Esports wins map 2 in the Asia Pacific Predator League Thailand 2027: OneOPae vs. Xipto Esports Valorant match originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Valorant, Gamers World, BO3.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 54 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oasis Gaming wins map 1 · Oasis Gaming | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 2,040 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Maxxing wins map 1 · Maxxing | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 40 | Nov 10, 06:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins map 2 · Xipto Esports | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| OneOPae wins map 2 · OneOPae | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins map 1 · Xipto Esports | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| OneOPae wins map 1 · OneOPae | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Salamander wins map 2 · Salamander | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| NongKaiTod wins map 2 · NongKaiTod | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Salamander wins map 1 · Salamander | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| NongKaiTod wins map 1 · NongKaiTod | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Sharper Esport wins map 2 · Sharper Esport | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| GODX wins map 2 · GODX | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Sharper Esport wins map 1 · Sharper Esport | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| GODX wins map 1 · GODX | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Fourdaboy wins map 2 · Fourdaboy | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| 1DAY24 wins map 2 · 1DAY24 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Fourdaboy wins map 1 · Fourdaboy | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| 1DAY24 wins map 1 · 1DAY24 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Pixel Lumina wins map 2 · Pixel Lumina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Aurora Gaming wins map 2 · Aurora Gaming | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Pixel Lumina wins map 1 · Pixel Lumina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Aurora Gaming wins map 1 · Aurora Gaming | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| xXxMasterProMegaTeamxXx wins map 2 · xXxMasterProMegaTeamxXx | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| F9 EICAR wins map 2 · F9 EICAR | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| xXxMasterProMegaTeamxXx wins map 1 · xXxMasterProMegaTeamxXx | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| F9 EICAR wins map 1 · F9 EICAR | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Rojali wins map 2 · Rojali | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| BOOM Esports wins map 2 · BOOM Esports | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Rojali wins map 1 · Rojali | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| BOOM Esports wins map 1 · BOOM Esports | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| GAS Esports wins map 2 · GAS Esports | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Alter Ego x Kertanegara wins map 2 · Alter Ego x Kertanegara | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| GAS Esports wins map 1 · GAS Esports | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Alter Ego x Kertanegara wins map 1 · Alter Ego x Kertanegara | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Straight outta PIK wins map 2 · Straight outta PIK | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Hertz Esport wins map 2 · Hertz Esport | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Straight outta PIK wins map 1 · Straight outta PIK | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Hertz Esport wins map 1 · Hertz Esport | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Surprise wins map 2 · Surprise | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| Seventh Letter Gaming wins map 2 · Seventh Letter Gaming | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 54 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.