What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 68¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.12.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 70% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 68%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

USDCAD Weekly on Kalshi

If the value of the USDCAD opening candlestick is Above 1.427 at 5pm ET on Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Pyth - USDCAD.

Market says (typical open contract)

68%

Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

64% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
68¢ (now)	1.5¢	$1.12	69.5%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will USDCAD be Above 1.427 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.427	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.425 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.425	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	20%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.423 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.423	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.421 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.421	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	36%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.419 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.419	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.417 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.417	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	60%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.415 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.415	37¢	37%	1.6¢	—	74%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.413 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.413	45¢	45%	1.7¢	—	90%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.411 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.411	53¢	53%	1.7¢	—	94%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.409 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.409	61¢	61%	1.7¢	—	78%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.407 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.407	68¢	68%	1.5¢	—	64%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.405 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.405	75¢	75%	1.3¢	—	50%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.403 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.403	81¢	81%	1.1¢	—	38%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.401 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.401	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	28%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.399 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.399	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	20%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.397 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.397	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.395 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.395	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.393 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.393	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.391 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.391	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	7%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Will USDCAD be Above 1.389 at 5pm ET on Nov 13? · Above 1.389	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	Nov 13, 22:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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