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Europa Leauge champion on Kalshi
If Plzen is the 2026-27 Europa League champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SL Benfica win the Europa League? · SL Benfica | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 17,948 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Milan win the Europa League? · Milan | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 15,348 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Besiktas win the Europa League? · Besiktas | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 11,832 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Juventus win the Europa League? · Juventus | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 9,077 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Ferencvarosi win the Europa League? · Ferencvarosi | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,317 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Crystal Palace win the Europa League? · Crystal Palace | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 3,097 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the Europa League? · Bournemouth | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 3,073 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Union Gilloise win the Europa League? · Union Gilloise | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 2,383 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Olympiacos win the Europa League? · Olympiacos | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,027 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Leverkusen win the Europa League? · Leverkusen | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 1,030 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will OFI Crete win the Europa League? · OFI Crete | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 830 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Sunderland win the Europa League? · Sunderland | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 683 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Lyon win the Europa League? · Lyon | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 482 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Real Sociedad win the Europa League? · Real Sociedad | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 433 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Ararat-Armenia win the Europa League? · Ararat-Armenia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 375 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Celta Vigo win the Europa League? · Celta Vigo | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 313 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Hoffenheim win the Europa League? · Hoffenheim | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 269 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Marseille win the Europa League? · Marseille | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 262 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Stade Rennais win the Europa League? · Stade Rennais | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 230 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Levski Sofia win the Europa League? · Levski Sofia | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 192 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Alkmaar win the Europa League? · Alkmaar | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 153 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Omonia Nicosia win the Europa League? · Omonia Nicosia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 146 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Salzburg win the Europa League? · Salzburg | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 102 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Anderlecht win the Europa League? · Anderlecht | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 85 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Be`er Sheva win the Europa League? · Be`er Sheva | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 46 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Plzen win the Europa League? · Plzen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Torreense win the Europa League? · Torreense | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Sturm Graz win the Europa League? · Sturm Graz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Sparta Prague win the Europa League? · Sparta Prague | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will NK Celje win the Europa League? · NK Celje | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Nijmegen win the Europa League? · Nijmegen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Lillestroem win the Europa League? · Lillestroem | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Lech Poznan win the Europa League? · Lech Poznan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Jagiellonia win the Europa League? · Jagiellonia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb win the Europa League? · Dinamo Zagreb | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Celtic win the Europa League? · Celtic | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 09, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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