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If Servette Chenois wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Roma vs Servette Chenois professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
15%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
30% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15¢ (now) | 0.9¢ | $2.98 | 15.9% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Chelsea wins by more than 1.5 goals | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 6,116 | Nov 12, 17:45 UTC |
| Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 6,110 | Nov 12, 17:45 UTC |
| Chelsea wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Chelsea wins by more than 2.5 goals | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 2,632 | Nov 12, 17:45 UTC |
| Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 2,354 | Nov 12, 17:45 UTC |
| Hacken Gothenburg wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Hacken Gothenburg wins by more than 1.5 goals | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 880 | Nov 12, 17:45 UTC |
| Paris FC wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Paris FC wins by more than 1.5 goals | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 832 | Nov 12, 17:45 UTC |
| Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 472 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals? · PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 400 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Servette Chenois wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Servette Chenois wins by more than 1.5 goals | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 386 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Paris FC wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Paris FC wins by more than 2.5 goals | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 313 | Nov 12, 17:45 UTC |
| Roma wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Roma wins by more than 2.5 goals | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 235 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals? · PSG wins by more than 2.5 goals | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 228 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Bayern wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Bayern wins by more than 1.5 goals | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 217 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Inter Milano wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Inter Milano wins by more than 1.5 goals | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 106 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Hacken Gothenburg wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Hacken Gothenburg wins by more than 2.5 goals | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 105 | Nov 12, 17:45 UTC |
| Roma wins by more than 1.5 goals? · Roma wins by more than 1.5 goals | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 89 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Inter Milano wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Inter Milano wins by more than 2.5 goals | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 85 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 80 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Servette Chenois wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Servette Chenois wins by more than 2.5 goals | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 70 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
| Bayern wins by more than 2.5 goals? · Bayern wins by more than 2.5 goals | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 59 | Nov 12, 20:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.